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Best Director
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk (+600)
Jordan Peele, Get Out (+3300)
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird (+1200)
Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread (+6600)
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water (-1000)
Will Win: Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape of Water. The Director/Picture split only seems to be getting stronger with La La Land‘s director, Damien Chazelle, taking home the statue for Best Director and Moonlight winning the big award at the end of the night. We’d imagine that logic holding true with this year’s award, especially given how Del Toro’s performed with other awards this year. And frankly? We think it’s particularly well deserved.
Should Win: Honestly, every single one of these directors are worth rooting for. We loved each of these films, so you can’t fault us for having one category where we just throw our hands up and say “It’s an honor just being nominated.”
Should Have Been Nominated: Luca Guadagino, Call Me By Your Name. We’ve listed the reasons that this was our favorite film of 2017, but we’d encourage you to take a look at the blocking and the framing of the scene in which Elio tells Oliver that he’s interested in him and then, along with us, you’ll wonder why on Earth he wasn’t nominated as well.
Dark Horses: Nolan is a good bet here as well, given how likely the Academy is to honor “distant” filmmaking with a “technical” award like directing as opposed to something sentimental like Picture, but we also wouldn’t count out Gerwig and Peele here as well. If you’re the kind of person who bets on the first play of the Super Bowl resulting in a safety, place a small wager on Anderson, who will earn you a whopping $67 on a $1 bet. Just remember how unlikely it is that he’ll win, even though the Seattle Seahawks did score a safety on the opening play of Super Bowl XLVIII just a few years ago.
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